Who Won The New York Primaries?

On Tuesday 19th April, both the Democrats and the Republicans held their all-important New York primaries. With 291 and 95 delegates available respectively, these contests were seen as key determiners of who each party will nominate for the US general presidential election, which will be held in November this year. So who won the New York Primaries?

Heading into New York

As far as the Democrats were concerned, the big question heading into The Empire State was can Bernie Sanders win New York? The US Senator for Vermont previously won a string of victories in smaller states such as Wisconsin over his opponent, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Going into the race, the Huffington Post shows that in terms of New York Democratic opinion polls, Hillary lead Sanders 54.6% to 41.6%.

On the Republican side, everyone’s eyes were on Donald Trump. The New York Billionaire has dominated this race, besting his rivals US Senator for Texas Ted Cruz and Ohio Governor John Kasich at nearly every turn. According to the Huffington Post, 54% of New York Republican primary voters backed Trump in public opinion polls, while only 22.1% and 19.2% showed their support for Kasich and Cruz respectively.

New York primaries

The BBC reports that Clinton triumphed in the New York. The former Secretary of State secured just under 58% of the vote, winning the Democratic race. Speaking to supporters, Clinton suggested that her campaign for the Democratic nomination was in the “home stretch and victory is in sight.”

As for the Republicans Donald Trump, who has recently implemented a massive image overhaul after making a series of controversial statements about women, stole the show. Data suggests that he clinched 60% of the vote. Commenting on his victory at his own Trump Tower, the New York Billionaire said: “I have to say to the people that know me the best – the people of New York – when they give us this kind of a vote it’s just incredible.”

Media reaction

Major news outlets were quick to react to the results of the New York primaries. The New York Times suggested that in this contest, Clinton seemed relaxed for the first time in a “rocky and unpredictable Democratic race.” Meanwhile Politico commented that “a series of distractions in the lead-up to the New York vote meant Bernie Sanders never came close to pulling off the upset victory he had predicted,” following his recent string of victories.

Turning to the Republicans, The New York Daily News wrote: “Donald Trump notched a gold-plated home state win Tuesday in New York’s Republican primary race, crushing his remaining challengers and re-establishing himself as the front-runner for the GOP presidential nomination.” In terms of delegates, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump solidified their positions as the front-runners in their races in The Empire State.

Mathematically impossible

During his victory speech, Trump suggested that his nearest rival Cruz was “just about mathematically eliminated” from the race and he had a point. In terms of delegates, Trump now leads Cruz 845 to 559 and they need 1,237 to clinch the nomination outright. With only 734 delegates left, Cruz needs to start posting big wins to even have a chance.

However, many establishment Republicans dislike Trump. If Cruz can prevent the New York billionaire from reaching 1,237, it would result in a brokered convention where after the first round of voting, delegates would be unbound to back who they like. In the case of a brokered convention, it’s feasible that Cruz could capitalise on anti-Trump feeling to steal the nomination.

Looking at the Democrats, Clinton now leads Sanders by 1,930 to 1,189. Democrats need to secure 2,383 delegates for the nomination and there are 1,646 left. Sanders’ window of opportunity is closing fast and he also needs to post huge wins to have any chance. Considering just how much many Democratic establishment politicians dislike the Vermont Senator, it’s unlikely a brokered convention would do him any favours.

Looking forward

New York was a triumph for Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. Both candidates posted solid victories and propelled themselves closer to securing their party’s nomination, meaning that their rivals need to win big in the upcoming primaries and caucuses. But with delegate-rich states such as Pennsylvania, Maryland and Delaware slated to hold their contests next, according to NJ News, Clinton and Trump haven’t quite reached the finishing line just yet.

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